# task-2663 — AXIS_3_RUNNING_GATE_SUPPLEMENT_EVALUATED

- Termination state: **AXIS_3_RUNNING_GATE_SUPPLEMENT_EVALUATED**
- 담당: dev6 페룬 (task-2657 scale-aware guard 직접 호출 · read-only)
- chair_authorization_id: `CHAIR-AUTH-AXIS-3-RUNNING-GATE-SUPPLEMENT-20260525-JJONGS-EVAL-001`
- task md sha256: `6f6ef95b475b219d713fa51886cdfadf0a20ee9bc2a20b610f04b61c19f0362b` (match)
- recorded_at: 2026-05-25T20:46:21+09:00
- real_t0: 2026-05-24T19:51:35+09:00
- real_t0+24h: 2026-05-25T19:51:35+09:00 (wall-clock reached +54m past target)
- canary session: 3A287AE0
- guard module: `/home/jay/.cokacdir/workspace/426931FE/wt-2657-dev6/utils/axis_3_canary_scale_aware_guard` (worktree-only · main repo ABSENT 유지)

## 보고 1 — condition_2 verdict: **MET (8/8)**

| # | 항목 | 값 | 근거 |
|---|------|-----|------|
| 1 | trigger 7 모두 NO | PASS | task-2655 +1260m observer `any_trigger_fired=False` |
| 2 | rollback=false | PASS | `rollback_trigger=False` · 21 consecutive SILENT_CONTINUE |
| 3 | hook_crash=0 | PASS | `.axis_3_canary_hook_crash_audit.jsonl` line_count=0 |
| 4 | bypass=0 | PASS | `.axis_3_emergency_bypass_audit.jsonl` line_count=0 |
| 5 | false_positive=0 | PASS | `.axis_3_canary_false_positive_audit.jsonl` line_count=0 |
| 6 | interference=0 | PASS | `.axis_3_canary_interference_audit.jsonl` line_count=0 |
| 7 | latency p95 ≤ 100ms | PASS | p95=6.814ms (warn 100ms 대비 충분 여유) |
| 8 | latency p99 ≤ 500ms | PASS | p99=7.024ms (rollback 500ms 대비 충분 여유) |

## 보고 2 — condition_4 verdict: **NOT_MET (4/5 · item 2 PARTIAL)**

| # | 항목 | 값 | 근거 |
|---|------|-----|------|
| 1 | real_t0+24h wall-clock 도달 | PASS | now=20:46:21 ≥ 19:51:35 (+54m past 24h target) |
| 2 | observer coverage 충분 | **PARTIAL (87.50%)** | 21 windows (60m→1260m) · 3 windows pending (+1320/+1380/+1440) · gap=180m |
| 3 | observer label drift task-2657 scale-aware | PASS | guard drift_calculator: 20 obs measurable · max raw=4.5m · normalized PASS (≤5m threshold) |
| 4 | queue/backlog vs coverage gap 분리 | PASS | explainable_delay(raw=4.5m << 5m PASS) vs coverage_gap(180m=3 future windows) — 두 현상 분리 박제 |
| 5 | Axis 1/2 interference 24h total=0 | PASS | interference_count=0 (audit jsonl + 21 obs windows 일관) |

## 보고 3 — 24h audit log summary (5 jsonl)

| 파일 | line_count | 분류 |
|------|------------|------|
| `.axis_3_canary_latency_audit.jsonl` | 3 | AUDIT_ONLY=1 / WARN=1 / BLOCK=1 (task-2656 3 SP samples · 09:05:08 KST) |
| `.axis_3_canary_false_positive_audit.jsonl` | 0 | (none) |
| `.axis_3_canary_interference_audit.jsonl` | 0 | (none) |
| `.axis_3_emergency_bypass_audit.jsonl` | 0 | (none) |
| `.axis_3_canary_hook_crash_audit.jsonl` | 0 | (none) |

★ latency BLOCK 1건은 task-2656 T3 destructive_block_dry_run (cokacdir --cron-remove 차단 의도 적중) — false_positive 아님.

## 보고 4 — observer coverage summary

- 기록된 windows: **21** (endpoints: 85, 122, 180, 241, 301, 362, 421, 480, 540, 600, 660, 720, 780, 840, 900, 960, 1020, 1080, 1140, 1200, 1260)
- 첫 window end: +85m  /  마지막 window end: +1260m
- 24h target endpoint: +1440m
- **Gap: 180m** (3 windows pending: +1320m at 20:50 KST · +1380m at 21:50 · +1440m at 22:50)
- coverage_pct: **87.50%** (1260m / 1440m)
- 21 windows 전부 `SILENT_CONTINUE` · `trigger_7_all_no=True` · `interference=0`

## 보고 5 — normalized drift / backlog 판단 (task-2657 scale-aware guard 기준)

- raw_drift_m: max=**4.5m**, mean=0.97m (20 observer 측정)
- queue_backlog_m: 0.0 (cron_history 수집 미실시 — read-only scope 한계 · 단 raw drift 자체가 작아 backlog 보정 불필요)
- normalized_drift_m: max=4.5m (raw=4.5 - backlog=0)
- **drift verdict 분포: PASS=20 / WARN=0 / HOLD_FOR_CHAIR=0**
- guard threshold: PASS ≤ 5m / WARN ≤ 30m
- 판단: **ALL_PASS_NORMALIZED** — 누적 drift 모두 PASS 임계 이내 · backlog 보정 없이도 합격

## 보고 6 — trigger 7 final values (24h 누적)

| trigger | value | threshold | OK |
|---------|-------|-----------|----|
| false_positive_count | 0 | =0 | ✓ |
| interference_count | 0 | =0 | ✓ |
| bypass_activation_count | 0 | =0 | ✓ |
| hook_crash_count | 0 | =0 | ✓ |
| latency_p95_ms | 6.814 | ≤100 | ✓ |
| latency_p99_ms | 7.024 | ≤500 | ✓ |
| rollback_trigger | false | false | ✓ |
| **any_trigger_fired** | **false** | false | **✓** |

## 보고 7 — Axis 1/2 interference count (24h total): **0**

## 보고 8 — running_eligible_without_chair_signature: **FALSE**

| 조건 | value |
|------|-------|
| time | true |
| safety (condition_2) | true |
| traffic (count=3 ≥ 1) | true |
| coverage (condition_4 item 2) | **false** (3 windows pending) |
| **AND (4 conditions)** | **false** |

★ ANCHOR-3 강제: 4조건 모두 MET이어도 chair_signature 없으면 RUNNING 승격 금지. 본 평가는 chair_signature condition 평가 0.

## 보고 9 — forbidden_action_count: **0** (target=0)

| 금지 항목 | count |
|-----------|-------|
| axis_3_running_declared | 0 |
| full_rollout | 0 |
| harness_enforced_full_declaration | 0 |
| policy_promotion | 0 |
| block_policy_expansion | 0 |
| pretooluse_runtime_modified | 0 |
| axis_1_2_runtime_modified | 0 |
| live_settings_json_modified | 0 |
| dispatch_py_modified | 0 |
| commit_push_pr_merge | 0 |
| task_2662_mixed_in | 0 |
| anu_autonomous_running_promotion | 0 |

## 보고 10 — recommended next action

**CHAIR_HOLD + WAIT_FOR_OBSERVER_CHAIN_COMPLETION**

근거:
1. condition_2 MET (8/8) ✓
2. condition_4 PARTIAL (4/5) — 3 windows pending (+1320 · +1380 · +1440) 완료 시 observer coverage 100% 도달 예정
3. 회장 verbatim signature (chair_signature condition) 미존재 — RUNNING 승격 강제 차단
4. **ANCHOR-3 유지**: condition_2 + condition_4 모두 MET이어도 RUNNING 승격 금지 · 회장 verbatim signature 별도 요구

권장 진행:
- 단계 1: +1440m observer window 도달 시점(2026-05-25T22:51:35+09:00 wall-clock 이후 +1440m collector 완료) 까지 observer chain 유지 (ANU normal callback chain)
- 단계 2: 완료 후 본 task와 동일 방식으로 supplement re-evaluation 가능 (회장 verbatim 신규 chair_authorization_id 발행 시)
- 단계 3: 최종 RUNNING 승격은 회장 verbatim `AXIS_3_CANARY_RUNNING_PROMOTED` token signature 도착 후에만

## 회장 보고 (verbatim)

성공: **`AXIS_3_RUNNING_GATE_SUPPLEMENT_EVALUATED`**

- condition_2 = MET (8/8)
- condition_4 = NOT_MET (4/5 · item 2 PARTIAL · 3 windows pending)
- running_eligible_without_chair_signature = FALSE
- forbidden_action_count = 0
- recommended_next_action = CHAIR_HOLD + WAIT_FOR_OBSERVER_CHAIN_COMPLETION

## ANU normal callback 등록 (finalize 9)

- schedule_id: **`EF44518F`**
- owner_key: **`c119085addb0f8b7`** (ANU · self-key 사용 안 함)
- schedule_at_kst: 2026-05-25 20:56:00 (absolute · --once)
- envelope_bytes: 1955 (UTF-8 ≤3900 준수)
- callback_kind: NORMAL_COLLECTOR
- envelope_only_compliance: true
- result_self_attestation_blocked: true
- registration_status: ok

## 안전 anchors (7)

- ANCHOR-1 read-only audit only · production write 0 · commit/push/PR/merge 0 → ✓
- ANCHOR-2 condition_2 + condition_4만 평가 (다른 condition 평가 0) → ✓
- ANCHOR-3 condition_2 + condition_4 모두 MET이어도 RUNNING 승격 금지 → ✓ (본 평가 condition_4=NOT_MET 어차피 차단)
- ANCHOR-4 task-2662 v3.1 dispatch (E9A8FBD2/dev2 오딘) 독립 병행 · 혼합 0 → ✓
- ANCHOR-5 task-2657 guard worktree 호출만 · main repo 변경 0 → ✓
- ANCHOR-6 Axis 1/2/3 runtime · dispatch.py · live settings.json · live cokacdir · hooks/* 변경 0 → ✓
- ANCHOR-7 ANU 자율 RUNNING promotion 절대 0 → ✓

끝